Investment Strategy For Stock Market Declines

By Small Cap Trader On October 9, 2009 Under Small Cap

Asset Allocation during the declines of a stock market is the only way to preserve wealth in a retirement account. Avoiding a bear market and having an investment strategy is necessary for 2009.

This is  an update in the stock market for the short term and long term. From January 1 through today the market is up a positive 6% and the one year rate is down a negative 22%. The stock market is currently above its 1 year average which is the average price over the past 12 months.

The short term direction of the stock market trend is positive. The 1 year average of the stock market is the trend setter for how the market is doing at any present time. It gives investors of mutual funds the update by knowing if the market is going down or up. It is a cross between the short and long term direction of the market that shows when the market is turning positive or negative.

Investors should have switched from mutual funds to money market funds when the stock market reached its first 1 year low in early 2008. At that time the market was also under its 1 year average. The decline in 2008 could take years to make back the loss in value to retirement accounts. Asset allocation is when the investor transfers from declining mutual funds to safe mutual funds. This can only be done by understanding the stock market trend.

Economists agree that the recession has seen its worst but they also agree the economy is not as healthy compared to 2003. The stock market will continue to have its rise and fall in rallies but a long term bull market is still not insight.

The key to a sucessful retirement plan is to finish every year in a positive percentage rate. To say the market will finish 2009 in a positive percentage is not guaranteed. The Commerce Department has released the second-quarter gross domestic product report which says, “including the April-to-June period, the economy has now contracted for a record four straight quarters, for the first time on record dating to 1947″. Unemployment is at a 26 year high of 9 percent..Mutual fund companies are buying now because of the low prices. To say the market will finish 2009 in a positive percentage is not guaranteed. Economists agree that the recession has seen its worst but they also agree the economy is not as healthy compared to 2003. The stock market will continue to have its rise and fall in rallies but a long term bull market is still not insight.

 

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